WALLY'S WINTER WEATHER PAGE 2020-21

CLICK HERE for official (National Weather Service) forecast.

Monday, March 28, 2022 - 2:00 p.m.

Next update: Any tropical system in summer/fall
CHANCE OF SNOW:

Other Winter Precip (Ice)
0%
TODAY-TONIGHT
0%
TODAY-TONIGHT
0%
TOMORROW
0%
TOMORROW
0%
48-72 Hrs.
0%
48-72 Hrs.
0%
3-5 Days  
0%
3-5 Days
0%
6-10 Days   
0%
6-10 Days
CHANCE OF ANY SNOW IN
THE NEXT TWO WEEKS		 00%

S = snow showers    F = snow flurries   W = significant wind event

WINTER CONCLUDES for 2021-22

If you've been reading all along, well, we've noticed that there has been a lot of harsh winter in most of the northern hemisphere.
We've continued our recent string of low snow winters, though. The airport has reported 11.8" of snow for the season (so far). That's about 7-10" below normal.

We'll pick up on this page next winter, but we'll post something here if a tropical system appears to threaten our area significantly. Of course, it takes a pretty strong and/or fast system to impact us much this far inland.

I'm watching for ya, so...

Check back!

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This forecast is given as is ... with no warranty of any kind. It is for entertainment purposes only. Any action regarding life or property should be contingent on the official forecast of the National Weather Service, an agency of the U.S. Government. Only the National Weather Service is the source of official forecasts ... not the Weather Channel, Accuweather, Weatherbug, WSI [which many TV stations use] or any other private group.

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CLIMATE NOTE - Kinda for fun. Just givin' some facts.

March 18, 2022

This is real, not a parody

1

Intl Energy Agency report urges ENERGY LOCKDOWNS: ‘Banning use of private cars on Sundays…Reducing highway speed limits…more working from home…cutting business air travel’ & SUV ‘tax’

See article here:

LINK (Click)


Wally

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You can send any comments to wmayo444@cox.net or see me!

 
*Models consulted, sometimes used as abbreviated:
GFS -  Global Forecast System - Main US-ran global model - longest range (to 16 days). Recently updated with much higher resolution.
NAM - Lower (12km ) and Higher Resolution (3km) -  North America Mesoscale - "Regional"-US, not global model.
WRF/ARW and WRF/NMMB (3 km res) - Nested models, high res
ECMWF - European model, including ensembles (EPS) and weeklies, etc., 
UKMET - British model - to 144 hrs. available to the public
NAVGEM - New Navy model (replaced NOGAPS, older one)
JMA - Japanese Model
ICON - Earth System Model (Max Plank Institute) - German, to 180 hrs.
RAP - Rapid Refresh Model (short term run hourly, covers up to 21 hours now)
HRRR3 (3km) and HRRR-15 minute - all High Resolution Rapid Refresh models
Canadian GEM - Global (240 hrs)
Canadian RGEM - Regional model, higher res, to 84 hrs.
Canadian  RDPS - very local high res model (2.5 km)
SREF - Short Range Ensemble Forecast (several of them)
NDFD - National Digital Forecat Database
National model blend
There are other models such as the Brazilian, German, French, and Japanese (JMA)
I also consult CFSv2 (Climate Forecasting System), GEFS Mean, Canadian Mean, ECMWF long range runs (Weeklies and Contol), and CMC Extended, etc. for long range
I do not have BUFKIT.
*Other abbreviations used:
WX - Weather
NCEP - National Center for Environmental Prediction (Nat'l Headquarters of the Nat'l Weather Service)
HPC - Hydrological Prediction Center (National prediction office of NWS)
CONUS - Continental US
PCPN - Precipitation
SYS - System
NE - northeast, SE - southeast, NNW north-north-west, etc.
Various oceanic and atmospheric osciallations:
NAO - North Atlantic Oscillation (negative suggests cold east US)
AO - Arctic Oscillation (negative suggests cold east US)
PNA - Pacific North-Atlantic Oscillation (positive suggests stormier east)
AMO - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation
EPO - Eastern Pacific Oscillation
WPO - Western Pacific Oscillation
PDO - Pacific Decadal Osciallation
MJO - Madden-Julian Oscillation (a cycle of precip-temps based on certain precip and flow patterns in Pacific). There are eight phases, each having specific bearing on our WX)
SOI - Southern Oscillation Index
QBO - Quasi-Biennial Oscillation
GENERAL CURRENT SNOWFALL MAPS: (Will be updated soon)
CLICK HERE for graphic of north Mid-Atlantic snowdepth
CLICK HERE for general USA snowdepth (Air Force)
CLICK for 1-day snow accumulation for Virginia  NC   WV
CLICK for snowdepth for Virginia  NC  WV
CLICK for month to date snowfall for VIRGINIA
CLICK for season to date snowfall for VIRGINIA

DICLAIMER AND COMMENT: This page is just for fun, and my forecast, may vary from the National Weather Service by quite a bit a times. There is no liability assumed for anything resulting from this page. Do not use this page to plan anything. Refer to official National Weather Service forecasts for responsible action. I took a number of classes in meteorology at the Florida State University School of Meteorology and do study various models and internal weather service discussions, and was fully trained in surface weather observation as an ASOS augmenter in preparation for working at an FAA surface weather station administered by NOAA. In any case, any forecast on this page which is more than 8-12 hours old should be disregarded as out-of-date. If you have any comments, leave me e-mail.

To e-mail me click button: 1 or email to mayo@weatherroanoke.com

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